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6月15日,吴利学(中国社会科学院工业经济所)
发布时间:2017-06-08   发布人:zs   点击数:372

报告人:吴利学,中国社会科学院工业经济所

时间:6月15日,周四下午1:30—3:00

地点:博学楼1222教室

题目:Beyond Nonbalanced Growth

摘要:This paper sheds light on the modern economic development through the lens of interactions between structural changes and aggregate growth. In a multi-sector growth framework with fully endogenous technological changes at the sectoral level, the prot-driven agents can adequately adjust the technological gaps besides the factor allocations across sectors. Therefore, the sectors with relatively lower (higher) productivity will achieve faster (slower) technological progress until all sectoral technologies converge to parallel trajectories, so that the economy will undergo uneven growth during the transitional dynamics but approach the balanced growth path with stable industrial structure eventually. Due to the inverse correlation between the progress rates and current relative levels of sector technologies, moreover, the two impacts of factor reallocations on aggregate growth (namely, by altering the sectoral growth weights and by shifting the reallocated factor's productivity) are certain to be opposite and thus the aggregate growth tends to keep nearly balanced along with substantial structural changes. This offers novel explanations for why Kaldor facts and Kuznets facts have appeared simultaneously since the early stage of modern growth and why the rise of services did not necessarily cause the \cost disease" in the developed countries after WWII.

报告人简介:吴利学,博士毕业于中国社会科学院研究生院,曾在芝加哥大学(2013-2014年)和多伦多大学(2015-2016年)访问。现任中国社会科学院工业经济研究所副研究员,主要从事经济增长、产业结构、宏观经济等领域研究工作。

 

 

 

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