您现在的位置:首页 >> 关闭
 
5月16日,刘冲(北京大学)
发布时间:2019-05-16   发布人:zs   点击数:672

报告人:刘冲,北京大学

时间:2019年5月16日(周四)3:30-5:00pm

地点:博学楼1222教室

题目:The Impact of the Three Gorges Dam:Differentiated Adaptations of Rural Households to Local Climate Change

ABSTRACT: Using the precipitation decline in downstream induced by the initial impoundment of the world’s largest hydroelectric dam in 2003 as a natural experiment, we identify differentiated patterns of adaptations to climate change by rural households’ initial endowments. Using gridded-monthly data and a difference-in-differences design, we confirm persistent decrease in spring precipitation in downstream of the dam, which is a hypothesis raised by previous hydrological studies. We further show that the decrease in precipitation leads to a 14 percent reduction in the yields of rice using a panel of over 40,000 rural households (1989-2014). In response to the continuous reduction in crop yields, small and subsistence-oriented farmers increase rice cropping area to maintain total output. In contrast, large and market-oriented farmers choose to migrate and find opportunities from less affected regions.

讲座人简介:刘冲,北京大学经济学院助理教授。北京大学经济学博士(2013),清华大学经济管理学院博士后(2015)。他曾在世界银行和研究部工作过,其研究领域是公共财政和发展经济学。近年来在Economic Journal、International Journal of Industrial Organization、Economics Letters、《经济研究》、《管理世界》、《经济学(季刊)》、《世界经济》、《金融研究》等国内外著名期刊发表论文20多篇。先后主持国家自然科学基金、农业部农村经济研究中心研究基金等多项科研课题。

 

扫一扫分享本页

 
相 关 新 闻:
热 点 新 闻: