2024年6月11日（周二）13:30-15:00 杨晨颖 （新加坡管理大学）

讲座系列：开放型经济理论与政策第10场（学科发展系列讲座总期第62场）

讲座人：杨晨颖  （新加坡管理大学经济学院助理教授）

时间：2024年6月11日（周二）13:30-15:00

地点：博学楼1222

主持人：荆然（对外经贸大学国际经济贸易学院国际贸易学系主任、教授）

讲座题目：Industrial Policies for Multi-stage Production: The Battle for Battery-powered Vehicles

讲座摘要：Many countries have set ambitious targets for transitioning away from fossil fuels. The plans generally involve switching from combustion engines to electric vehicles （EVs）. As batteries constitute around 40% of the cost of EVs, firms need to establish low-cost battery supply chains in order to make EVs attractive to consumers. At the same time, governments increasingly use tax and subsidy schemes to induce firms to locate more stages of the supply chain within their jurisdictions. We specify a multi-stage supply chain for EVs from battery cell production to vehicle distribution. Each car producer selects where to open facilities at each stage considering production costs, transport costs, tariffs and subsidies. This is a difficult combinatorial choice problem, yet we leverage a mixed integer linear program formulation which ensures a solution with relative computational speed and efficiency. We estimate the parameters of our model—which include the variable production costs and fixed plant/model activation costs—using observed sourcing decisions for all production stages over the period 2015 to 2022. The next step is a set of counterfactuals that compute how policy interventions affect the final pattern of production and trade in this sector. Ultimately, we plan to use the model to quantify the impact of competing industrial policies on global CO2 emissions.

主讲人简介：

Dr. Yang is an assistant professor in the School of Economics at the Singapore Management University. Her research interests include international trade, industrial organization, and spatial economics, with a particular focus on decisions of multinational firms. Before joining SMU, she received a Ph.D. in Strategy and Business Economics at the University of British Columbia under the supervision of Keith Head and John Ries. 

讲座人主页：

https://chenying-yang.com/